Inductive Reason Question!!???!!!?

Question

Read the two scenarios below. Then, select the one that is the better use of inductive reasoning. Explain why you think this way.


Scenario A Scenario B
Jose is in a batting slump, hitting only once in his last 29 at bats. One day, Jose forgets to put on his batting glove and gets 2 hits! After the game, Jose conjectures, “I hit better when I don’t wear batting gloves. Jose is in a batting slump, hitting only once in his last 29 at bats. His coach gives him advice on his stance. Jose takes his coaches advice and gets a hit the next day. He works on his stance in practice and the next game gets 2 hits. For the next game he gets 3 hits. Jose conjectures, “I should keep working on my stance, if I want to keep improving my hitting.


PLEASE HELP!!!!!!!!!!!!! 10 POINTS TO BEST!!!!

Answer 1

In the first scenario, Jose experiences a momentary increase in his batting ability, but it is illogical as batting gloves (theoretically at least) should HELP you to bat, there are also a whole range of other factors that could have caused the comparatively minor increase in the number of balls he hit, such as energy levels, how well he slept the night before, weather factors. This isn't a particularly strong conjecture that he forms considering it was a one off event where taking off his gloves didn't necessarily imply causality.



In the second scenario, he works on his actual skill, and while his strike rate goes up at the same rate as in the first scenario, it goes up at the same rate over a longer period of time, unlike the first example which was only tested in one point in time, there are more differing factors in this scenario yet still a steady increase, and hence is a significantly stronger example of induction, where our goal is to prove that something will withstand the test of infinity.



Since in the first scenario there is an increase, yet it is not tracked over a longer period of time and is very unlikely to be related, but in the second scenario it is tracked over a longer period of time and makes perfect sense to be related, the second scenario is a much better example of induction.

Answer 2

Deductive Inferences whilst a controversy claims that the certainty of its premises ensures the certainty of its end, that's reported to contain a deductive inference. Deductive reasoning holds to an exceedingly extreme time-honored of correctness. A deductive inference succeeds provided that its premises grant such absolute and finished help for its end that it may be fully inconsistent to think that the premises are genuine however the tip fake. be conscious that each and each argument the two meets this time-honored otherwise it would not; there is not any midsection floor. some deductive arguments are suitable, and if their premises are in certainty genuine, then it follows that their conclusions additionally should be genuine, no count number what else could take place to be the case. All different deductive arguments are no reliable in any respect—their conclusions may be fake whether their premises are genuine, and no quantity of extra suggestions can help them interior the least. Inductive Inferences whilst a controversy claims only that the certainty of its premises make it probable or in all probability that its end is likewise genuine, that's reported to contain an inductive inference. the time-honored of correctness for inductive reasoning is a lot greater versatile than that for deduction. An inductive argument succeeds each and each time its premises grant some valid data or help for the certainty of its end. even even with the undeniable fact that that's hence existence prefer to settle for the certainty of that end on those grounds, it does no longer be thoroughly inconsistent to withhold judgment or perhaps to disclaim it outright. Inductive arguments, then, could meet their time-honored to a much better or to a lesser degree, based upon the quantity of help they grant. No inductive argument is the two definitely suitable or completely ineffective, even even with the undeniable fact that one may be reported to be quite greater ideal or worse than yet another interior the sense that it recommends its end with a much better or decrease degree of risk. In such situations, correct extra suggestions in many situations impacts the reliability of an inductive argument by making use of offering different data that differences our estimation of the probability of the tip.

Answer 3

I'm not sure but I'm guessing the second one because it sounds a lot more reasonable than the other one. It seems like it makes more sense.